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Why Could Gold and Precious Metals Attract More Attention as US Debt, Yields, and the Dollar Come Under Scrutiny?

Published: September 18, 2026
Last updated: September 21, 2026
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Why physical gold held in Switzerland may form part of a broader approach to currency, asset, and jurisdictional diversification

Gold has already attracted significant investor attention in recent years. The more interesting question for long-term investors is whether some of the forces behind that demand could prove more persistent than temporary.

Recent developments in the US Treasury market add another dimension. The US Treasury has announced an expansion of purchases of long-dated government bonds through its buyback program. The immediate market reaction included lower long-term yields, while the development has also contributed to renewed discussion about US fiscal pressures, the US dollar’s purchasing power, and demand for real assets.

For gold and other precious metals, several forces may reinforce one another. Lower real or nominal yields may reduce the opportunity cost of holding assets that produce no income. A weaker US dollar can make dollar-priced metals more attractive internationally. Concerns about government debt, inflation, currencies, and geopolitical uncertainty can strengthen interest in assets that do not represent another party’s financial liability.

From our perspective as an independent Swiss financial advisor and global wealth planner, that makes the discussion about more than the future gold price.

For some international investors, physical precious metals may also introduce diversification by asset, currency sensitivity, custodian, and jurisdiction, particularly when the metals themselves are securely stored in Switzerland.

Why are US Treasury buybacks relevant to gold?

The US Treasury recently announced that it would at least double its purchases of long-dated Treasury securities under its liquidity-supporting buyback program. The intention is to improve market functioning and potentially reduce pressure at the longer end of the yield curve.

This matters to precious metals because gold does not pay interest.

Glass and steel office towers seen from street level against a clear sky

When government bond yields are high, investors have a greater opportunity cost from holding gold rather than an interest-bearing security. If yields fall or expectations develop that policymakers will increasingly seek to contain borrowing costs that relative disadvantage can diminish.

The relationship is neither automatic nor linear. Yields can rise while gold rises, and falling yields do not guarantee higher precious-metal prices.

But the interaction among government borrowing, bond yields, monetary policy, and currencies may be important when considering why investors allocate capital to gold in the first place.

What is the so-called US dollar debasement trade?

The word debasement can sound dramatic, but the underlying concept is straightforward.

It refers to concern that a currency’s purchasing power may gradually decline as government debt, fiscal deficits, monetary conditions, and inflation interact over time.

Julius Baer notes that increased Treasury buybacks have contributed to dollar weakness by limiting some upward pressure on longer-term yields. This has renewed attention on the so-called US dollar debasement trade and assets that investors may use in an attempt to preserve purchasing power.

For a US-based investor, this raises an important portfolio question.

If income, real estate, businesses, bank deposits, bonds, equities, and retirement assets are already predominantly denominated in or economically linked to the USdollar, how much of total wealth ultimately depends on the same currency?

Gold can provide one possible counterweight because it is globally traded and is not issued by a government or central bank.

Why might lower yields support gold and silver?

Gold and silver do not generate coupons, dividends, or interest.

That characteristic can work against precious metals when investors can earn attractive real returns from cash and high-quality bonds.

The calculation changes as yields decline.

If the return available from government securities falls, the opportunity cost associated with holding non-yielding assets becomes lower. Julius Baer identifies this dynamic, together with a softer dollar, as supportive for gold and silver.

There is also a second effect.

Because gold is generally priced internationally in US dollars, a weaker dollar can make it less expensive in other currencies, potentially supporting demand from non-US investors.

None of this means that gold prices must rise. Precious metals remain volatile and can experience substantial corrections even when the longer-term investment thesis appears supportive.

Why does the US debt debate matter to precious metals?

Gold does not need a US debt crisis to be relevant.

The more subtle issue is confidence in the long-term purchasing power of government-issued currencies and the sustainability of fiscal policy.

As public debt increases, governments face difficult choices involving taxation, spending, borrowing costs, inflation, and economic growth. Markets also have to absorb large quantities of government debt.

If investors become increasingly concerned about fiscal sustainability, demand may rise for assets that exist outside the traditional government debt and currency system.

Physical gold has one unusual characteristic in this respect:

Gold is an asset that is not simultaneously somebody else’s debt.

A government bond is a liability of a government. A bank deposit is a liability of a bank. Corporate debt is a liability of a company.

Allocated physical gold is different. Ownership is attached to the metal itself.

That distinction can become more relevant when concerns center on debt rather than simply the economic cycle.

Why could central banks continue to influence gold demand?

Private investors are not the only participants considering the role of gold.

Central banks have increasingly treated gold as a reserve-diversification asset, particularly as geopolitical tensions have highlighted the potential vulnerability of reserves held entirely in foreign currencies and securities.

The motivation is not necessarily a prediction that the dollar will cease to be the world’s dominant reserve currency.

A reserve manager can remain heavily invested in dollar assets while deciding that a greater allocation to an asset that is not itself a sovereign credit risk may provide useful diversification.

Private investors can think about the issue in much the same way.

Diversification does not require abandoning the dominant asset. It requires questioning whether everything should depend upon it.

Why can geopolitical fragmentation add to the case for precious metals?

The global financial system is becoming more complicated.

Trade relationships are shifting. Governments are paying greater attention to strategic autonomy, energy security, defense, critical minerals, technology, supply chains, and financial infrastructure.

At the same time, geopolitical tensions have demonstrated that access to financial assets can sometimes depend upon political relationships between jurisdictions.

Gold cannot eliminate geopolitical risk.

But physical gold held directly or through an appropriate allocated custody arrangement has characteristics that differ from securities dependent upon an issuer’s continuing ability to meet its obligations.

For internationally active families, this can make precious metals relevant not simply as a commodity allocation, but as part of a broader discussion about how wealth is structured across different types of financial exposure.

“Gold is an asset that is not simultaneously somebody else’s debt.”

Why consider silver and other precious metals alongside gold?

Gold and silver coins with US dollar bills, financial investment concept.

Gold receives most of the attention, but precious metals are not a single investment category.

Silver, platinum, and palladium have different supply-and-demand characteristics and substantially greater industrial exposure.

Silver, for example, combines monetary and investment demand with industrial uses. Platinum-group metals have important applications across industrial and technological sectors.

This means their price behavior can differ considerably from gold.

It also means they should not simply be treated as cheaper substitutes for gold.

An allocation to precious metals should consider the intended purpose of each metal, its liquidity, volatility, storage requirements, and role within the wider portfolio.

Why can physical gold be different from owning gold financially?

There are several ways to obtain exposure to gold.

Investors can use exchange-traded products, funds, futures, structured products, mining shares, or physical bullion.

These are not interchangeable.

A gold mining company is an operating business exposed to management, financing, energy, labor, geological, political, and operational risks. A gold-backed financial instrument introduces its own legal and structural considerations.

Physical bullion provides direct exposure to the underlying metal.

For investors primarily interested in gold as a potential long-term store of value or as an asset held outside conventional securities exposure, physical ownership may therefore warrant separate consideration from financial exposure to the gold price.

That brings us to another question: where should the metal actually be held?

Why has Switzerland become an important location for physical gold?

Switzerland occupies an unusual position in the global precious-metals ecosystem.

The country has a long history of precious-metal refining, trading, banking, secure storage, and international wealth management. It is home to several globally significant refineries and an established infrastructure for handling investment-grade bullion.

For international investors, Switzerland may therefore provide two distinct elements of diversification.

The first is the asset itself: physical gold rather than another financial security.

The second is the jurisdiction in which that asset is held.

Iconic Geneva Jet d'Eau fountain on Lake Geneva with cityscape background.

“Physical gold can diversify more than a portfolio. Where it is held can add another dimension to how wealth is structured.”

Depending on the client’s requirements, physical precious metals can be held through appropriate Swiss banking custody arrangements or specialized private vault facilities.

For an investor whose other financial assets are predominantly held in one home country, storing part of a precious-metals allocation in Switzerland can therefore introduce an additional geographic and custodial dimension.

What is the difference between bank storage and private vault storage?

The appropriate arrangement depends on the investor’s objectives and circumstances.

Some investors prefer holding precious metals through a Swiss bank, allowing bullion to sit alongside other financial assets within an established banking relationship.

Others may consider specialized private vaulting, particularly when the objective is to separate physical precious metals from conventional banking assets.

Important questions include whether the metal is specifically allocated, how ownership is documented, where it is physically located, what insurance applies, how it can be sold or transferred, what fees are charged, and what happens in the event of a custodian insolvency.

The word gold on an account statement does not necessarily tell an investor how that exposure is legally or operationally structured.

Those details matter.

Should gold be viewed as a trade or as part of wealth preservation?

For some investors, gold is a tactical investment based on a view about interest rates, inflation, currencies, or market sentiment.

For others, its role is quite different.

It may be held as a strategic allocation intended to diversify financial assets, currencies, or jurisdictions over many years.

From a wealth-planning perspective, the second approach may be more relevant for some investors.

Trying to predict precisely whether gold will rise next month or next quarter is difficult. The more durable question is whether an asset with gold’s characteristics has a useful role within the family’s overall wealth.

That depends on what else the family owns, its currency exposure, liquidity requirements, investment horizon, risk tolerance, and reasons for owning precious metals.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does a weaker US dollar automatically mean a higher gold price?

No. A weaker dollar can be supportive because gold is internationally priced in dollars, but many factors influence precious-metal prices, including real interest rates, inflation expectations, investor positioning, central-bank demand, geopolitical events, and economic conditions.

Why might an investor own physical gold rather than a gold ETF?

The two can serve different purposes. A financial product can provide convenient market exposure, while allocated physical bullion may provide direct ownership of specifically allocated metal, depending on the custody and legal structure. Costs, liquidity, custody, taxation, and legal structure should all be considered.

Can physical gold be stored outside a bank in Switzerland?

Yes. Depending on the arrangement, precious metals may be stored through Swiss banks or specialized private vault providers. The custody structure, allocation, ownership documentation, insurance, access, and costs should be reviewed carefully.

Does gold eliminate portfolio risk?

No. Gold prices fluctuate and can decline significantly. Gold does not generate income, and storage and transaction costs may apply. Its appropriate role depends on the investor’s overall portfolio and objectives.

Summary

The case for precious metals should not rest on one Treasury announcement or one forecast for the US dollar.

The more interesting development is the combination of forces now affecting global wealth: substantial government debt, sensitivity around long-term borrowing costs, changing expectations for currencies, geopolitical fragmentation, central-bank reserve diversification, and renewed attention to real assets.

The US Treasury’s expanded buyback program has added another element to that discussion. Julius Baer argues that the combination of lower-yield concerns and a softer dollar has improved the backdrop for precious metals, particularly gold.

Whether that ultimately translates into higher prices cannot be known in advance.

For long-term investors, however, the strategic question is broader.

If diversification means reducing unnecessary dependence on any single asset class, currency, financial institution, or jurisdiction, physical precious metals may deserve consideration for reasons extending well beyond their next price movement.

And for investors seeking both physical ownership and geographic diversification, Switzerland provides an established environment in which gold and other precious metals can be acquired, stored through banks or private vaults under appropriate custody arrangements and incorporated into a broader international wealth-management strategy.

Source: https://www.juliusbaer.com/en/insights/market-insights/market-outlook/treasury-buy-backs-fuel-a-softer-usd-and-boost-precious-metals/

About the Author

This article reflects the perspective of Alpen, a Swiss-based financial advisor and global wealth planner advising internationally active individuals and families on second residency planning, jurisdictional diversification, and cross-border structuring considerations in addition to traditional wealth management services.
Alpen Partners and Alpen Partners International are licensed by FINMA, the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, as a portfolio manager.
Alpen Partners is licensed throughout Canada as a portfolio manager.
Alpen Partners International is registered with the SEC in the United States as an investment advisor.

The firm provides portfolio management, international investment diversification, Swiss banking relationships, multi-currency strategies, liquidity planning, family office services, and cross-border wealth planning.

As part of broader portfolio and wealth-planning mandates, Alpen can assist clients considering gold and other precious metals, including appropriate acquisition and custody arrangements through Swiss banking relationships or specialized private vault storage.

For American clients in the United States and abroad, Alpen Partners International is registered with the US Securities and Exchange Commission as an Investment Adviser.

All investments involve certain risks. All investments carry the potential for financial loss, including the loss of the principal amount invested. Past performance is not an indicator of future results.

Market conditions and broader economic factors can significantly impact the value of investments. Investments in international markets are subject to additional risks, such as currency exchange fluctuations, political or economic instability, and variations in accounting practices. Alternative investments, including but not limited to hedge funds, private equity, and real estate, may be illiquid, speculative, and are not suitable for all investors.

The above information should be considered before making any investment decisions.

All posts and publications are for your information only and are not intended as an offer, promotion, or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or perform any other financial transactions. All information and opinions expressed in posts and publications reflect our current views as of the date of the publication and may be liable to change without notice.

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